Forbes contributors publish independent expert analyses and insights. Writes about the future of finance and technology, follow for more. Joint probability teaches us to calculate combined outcomes.

Future events are far from certain in the business world. This is especially true for smaller businesses, which tend to have more volatility than larger organizations, or newer businesses without a ...

Torsten Sløk, Apollo's chief economist, says a US recession in 2025 is unlikely. The economy grew faster than expected in 2024, driven by strong consumer spending. Key risks for 2025 include tariffs, ...